Growing seeds: how investors can play a role in enhancing food security

Samenvatting

The coronavirus pandemic refocused our attention on the value of food, with the question “how to grow seeds” trending on the internet. Yet even before the pandemic hit, the entire system of providing people with food was hugely inefficient. And without action, it will likely only get worse. The good news is that the private sector can address the UN’s Sustainable Development Goals by investing in innovations that improve the sustainability of the food economy – with the goal to do it profitably.

Key takeaways:

  • Millions of people live in the shadow of hunger, but a third of all food goes to waste throughout the supply chain
  • Our current food-production system is environmentally harmful, so the answer isn’t simply to produce more food in the same way
  • The world needs investment in innovative systems to improve the sustainability of our food supply – and aligning with the UN Sustainable Development Goals can provide helpful guidance about where to invest for better food security
  • Data-driven precision agriculture, “vertical farming” methods and aquaponics can improve how food is grown, while elsewhere companies are pioneering more sustainable packaging methods and reducing food waste 
  • Creating alternatives to animal protein – and promoting wellness in people and animals – can address both nutritional and environmental challenges

Sadly, too many people are unable to take food for granted. Food insecurity takes a devastating toll, and countries whose populations go hungry will fail to develop their economic potential. Even in developed countries, many citizens struggle to access nutritious food, and poor diet can exacerbate inequalities of health and opportunity. 

The coronavirus pandemic refocused our attention on the value of food. The question “how to grow seeds” spiked on the internet as people sought to be more self-sufficient. Farmers were recognised as essential workers when the food-supply chain was disrupted. And zoonotic viruses – those that are transmitted from animals to humans – became a much-discussed topic.
Yet even before the pandemic hit, the entire system of providing people with food was hugely inefficient. While 815 million people live every day in the shadow of hunger, a third of all food goes to waste throughout the supply chain, according to the United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization. This is a large reason why the UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) include the objective of eliminating global hunger by 2030. 

 

Finding an environmentally sensitive approach

But the answer to hunger is not simply to ramp up status-quo food production, even if that were a feasible option. We need an approach that is more sensitive to environmental issues. For example, agriculture is responsible for nearly 15% of greenhouse-gas emissions caused by humans, and climate change is exacerbating the droughts, floods and other volatile weather events that threaten crops and livestock. 
All the while, the demand for food is growing along with the population. A 2012 WWF report argued that humanity would need to produce more food in the subsequent four decades than in the last 8,000 years of agriculture combined.
The good news is that the private sector can play a significant role – aligned with the UN SDGs – by investing with the goal to profitably improve food security and the sustainability of the food economy. Here are three ideas for how the private sector can use capital to create change.


Investment idea: improve how food is grown
Life below waterLife on land

We are starting to see the emergence of technologies that promise radically enhanced agricultural productivity. Farmers are connecting to a “hive-mind” of shared data collected by satellites and drones, combined with improved data on demand and consumer trends, to allow more efficient use of pesticides and fertilisers. That way, precision agriculture can enhance production while also reducing the ecological damage associated with the traditional use of chemicals – addressing SDG 14 (Life Below Water) and SDG 15 (Life on Land).

 

Clean water and sanitation

New sustainable-farming methods include aquaponics, where plants are grown in water that is fertilised by fish, and vertical farming, where crops are grown in stacks. These can reduce fertiliser use, support production that is geographically closer to the point of consumption and improve the world’s water supply. Indoor vertical farming can grow plants with 95% less water usage than arable farmland, which could dramatically advance SDG 6 (Clean Water and Sanitation). Given that 24% of the world’s productive land is degraded due to topsoil depletion, indoor farming could also play an important role in reversing the negative trajectory of land-use change by concentrating food production in a smaller area. Many of these nascent technologies are attracting venture finance and will continue to percolate into listed equity markets via acquisitions by incumbents and IPOs.

 

Investment idea: improve how food is processed and distributed

Responsible consumption and production

Estimates suggest that nearly a quarter of calories produced for human consumption are lost or wasted in the food supply chain. According to the US Department of Agriculture, USD 161 billion worth of food went to waste in the US alone in 2010. This is creating demand for more sustainable methods of packaging and distributing food – and many companies have set ambitious goals for reducing food waste and packaging in their operations that align with SDG 12 (Responsible Consumption & Production). But the approach needs to be different around the world: emerging-market nations can reduce food waste by improving food processing, while the developed world needs to make the distribution and consumption of food more efficient.

Investment idea: improve how food is innovated and developed

Good health and well-beingResponsible consumption and production

Reducing our reliance on animal agriculture could help solve immense environmental problems. Livestock accounts for 14.5% of all human-influenced greenhouse-gas emissions – six times more than the entire contribution from aviation, based on figures from the International Council on Clean Transportation. Furthermore, while agricultural land is scarce, livestock takes up a disproportionate share, occupying 77% of available agricultural land while contributing only 33% of global protein supply. Fortunately, both multinationals and start-ups are competing to develop alternatives to animal protein. Plant-based protein and meat substitutes provide nutritious food with less environmental impact, and they are popular with consumers who cite the health and environmental benefits. And new food categories, including insect-based proteins, are entering regulatory acceptance as a food category in the European Union and other regions. 

Wellness continues to be a strong consumer trend that companies are capitalising on by offering healthy food, such as low-sugar and organic options at affordable prices. This supports SDG 3 (Good Health and Well-being). Other companies are focused on enhancing food safety and shelf-life by improving quality control in the processing, packaging and distribution of food – another way to support SDG12 (Responsible Consumption & Production). Animal safety and well-being is another fast-growing market segment, and businesses are responding with products that reduce livestock susceptibility to disease and antibiotic usage. 

 

Capital investment required

While there are no easy answers to the challenges of food security, the high stakes make it an urgent and pressing issue. The combination of a growing population, the deteriorating health of the biosphere, water scarcity, and societal issues like hunger and obesity poses a huge challenge to our food systems. We must produce more food with higher nutritional value at a lower environmental and economic cost. To achieve this, capital investment will be essential to generate both radical innovations and incremental efficiencies. Investing in companies that create a positive impact, by aligning themselves with the food-related UN SDGs, is an exciting opportunity for investors and society at large. 

 

Robbie Miles
Portfolio Manager, Global Thematic Equity

 

 


UN Sustainable Development Goals logo

About the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals

The United Nations Sustainable Development Goals are 17 goals that were adopted by all United Nations Member States in 2015 as part of the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development, which set out a 15-year plan to achieve the goals. The UN SDGs address a range of social needs, including education, health, social protection and job opportunities, while tackling climate change and environmental protection. They serve as a framework to promote prosperity while protecting the planet to achieve a better and more sustainable future for all.


 

Active is: Investing with conviction

US elections: race is far tighter than expected – again

Samenvatting

While the results are not yet final, the 2020 US presidential race is much closer than the polls and betting markets predicted. Investors should expect some flight-to-safety response in areas like US Treasury bonds and the dollar, and technology may perform well if President Trump secures victory again.

Key takeaways

  • At this stage, the results of the US elections indicate that President Trump is more competitive in key swing states than markets or polling had indicated
  • While there may still be a path to victory for Democratic candidate Joe Biden, this would come through key swing states that may take days to count votes, like Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin
  • Markets may continue to respond favourably to a potential second term for Mr Trump, focusing on his more business-friendly policies and lower tax regime overall; sectors like technology and financials may especially benefit
  • Investors have reasons to be optimistic heading into 2021: once a result is known, the backdrop of rising economic growth, low rates, and stimulus should be good for stocks and other risk assets

SDG-related insights

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